Hypothesis Duel
Analysis of competing hypotheses for competitor predictions: weigh only diagnostic evidence, rank candidates by least inconsistency rather than most support, and name the evidence that would most change the answer.
What this template answers
Each item below becomes a heading in the AI response.
- What evidence is diagnostic — consistent with one candidate and inconsistent with others?
- Which candidate survives the disconfirming evidence best?
- What single piece of evidence would most change the ranking?
- What are we assuming that nobody has checked?
Categories
- Critical Thinking & Skepticism
- Productivity & Decisions
Tags
- competitor
- ach
- disconfirmation
- assumptions
- competitive-intelligence
Creator
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